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Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern

Chart patterns enable traders to anticipate potential trend reversals and structure their trades accordingly. One of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns is the Double Bottom. Identifying this formation early can help traders prepare for upward price movements and avoid short positions near potential market bottoms.


A Double Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that resembles the letter “W.” It usually forms after a prolonged downtrend, signaling that selling pressure is waning and buyers may soon take control, pushing prices higher.

Anatomy of the Double Bottom Pattern

First Trough: The pattern begins with a strong downward move that reaches a low (the first trough) before bouncing upward. This low represents a support level where buyers begin to show interest.

Second Trough: After the bounce, the price retraces but fails to break significantly below the first trough, forming a second bottom. This second failure to create a new low suggests diminishing bearish strength and growing buyer confidence.

Neckline and Breakout: The high point between the two bottoms is called the neckline. A breakout occurs when the price closes above this neckline with increased volume, confirming the Double Bottom pattern and signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish trend.


How to Trade the Double Bottom Pattern

Entry Point

  • Enter a long position when the price breaks and closes above the neckline with notable volume.
  • Alternatively, wait for a retest of the neckline after the breakout. Enter when the retest holds and the price begins to rise again.
  • Furthermore, you can also split your position — for example, enter 50% on the breakout and the remaining 50% after a successful neckline retest.

Target Price

Two common techniques are used to project a target:

Chart-Based Target:

  • Measure the distance from the troughs to the neckline.
  • Add this distance to the neckline level to project the upside target.
  • Target = Neckline + (Neckline – Bottom)

Fibonacci Extension or Pivot Points:

  • These tools can provide additional profit targets and help confirm resistance levels beyond the initial breakout.

Stop-Loss Placement

  • Place the stop-loss just below the second trough to protect against failed breakouts.
  • If entering after a retest, a tighter stop just below the neckline can be considered.
  • Avoid overly tight stops in volatile markets to prevent getting stopped out by minor retracements.

Additional Tips

  • Double Bottoms are most effective after a prolonged downtrend — in sideways markets, the pattern may lack reliability.
  • Volume should typically decrease during the formation of the second trough and increase on the breakout above the neckline.
  • Confirm the setup with indicators like RSI divergence (higher lows on RSI while price forms equal or lower lows) or a MACD bullish crossover.
  • A rounded or flatter second bottom adds credibility, showing consistent buyer defence at support levels.

Charting Exercise: Switch to a daily chart and scan for potential Double Bottom formations. Clearly mark:

  • First and second troughs
  • Neckline (resistance between the two bottoms)
  • Entry point (breakout candle)
  • Target and stop-loss levels

Use horizontal lines for the troughs and neckline. Measure the vertical distance from trough to neckline and project it upwards to estimate a conservative target. Confirm the breakout with a volume surge.

Homework: Study the following stocks and check if a Double Bottom pattern is forming or has already played out:

1. Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (APOLLOHOSP)

2. Route Mobile Ltd. (ROUTE)

You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern
Read More
Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern

Chart patterns enable traders to anticipate potential trend reversals and structure their trades accordingly. One of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns is the Double Bottom. Identifying this formation early can help traders prepare for upward price movements and avoid short positions near potential market bottoms.


A Double Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that resembles the letter “W.” It usually forms after a prolonged downtrend, signaling that selling pressure is waning and buyers may soon take control, pushing prices higher.

Anatomy of the Double Bottom Pattern

First Trough: The pattern begins with a strong downward move that reaches a low (the first trough) before bouncing upward. This low represents a support level where buyers begin to show interest.

Second Trough: After the bounce, the price retraces but fails to break significantly below the first trough, forming a second bottom. This second failure to create a new low suggests diminishing bearish strength and growing buyer confidence.

Neckline and Breakout: The high point between the two bottoms is called the neckline. A breakout occurs when the price closes above this neckline with increased volume, confirming the Double Bottom pattern and signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish trend.


How to Trade the Double Bottom Pattern

Entry Point

  • Enter a long position when the price breaks and closes above the neckline with notable volume.
  • Alternatively, wait for a retest of the neckline after the breakout. Enter when the retest holds and the price begins to rise again.
  • Furthermore, you can also split your position — for example, enter 50% on the breakout and the remaining 50% after a successful neckline retest.

Target Price

Two common techniques are used to project a target:

Chart-Based Target:

  • Measure the distance from the troughs to the neckline.
  • Add this distance to the neckline level to project the upside target.
  • Target = Neckline + (Neckline – Bottom)

Fibonacci Extension or Pivot Points:

  • These tools can provide additional profit targets and help confirm resistance levels beyond the initial breakout.

Stop-Loss Placement

  • Place the stop-loss just below the second trough to protect against failed breakouts.
  • If entering after a retest, a tighter stop just below the neckline can be considered
  • Avoid overly tight stops in volatile markets to prevent getting stopped out by minor retracements.

Additional Tips

  • Double Bottoms are most effective after a prolonged downtrend — in sideways markets, the pattern may lack reliability.
  • Volume should typically decrease during the formation of the second trough and increase on the breakout above the neckline.
  • Confirm the setup with indicators like RSI divergence (higher lows on RSI while price forms equal or lower lows) or a MACD bullish crossover.
  • A rounded or flatter second bottom adds credibility, showing consistent buyer defence at support levels.

Charting Exercise: Switch to a daily chart and scan for potential Double Bottom formations. Clearly mark:

 

 

  • First and second troughs
  • Neckline (resistance between the two bottoms)
  • Entry point (breakout candle)
  • Target and stop-loss levels
Use horizontal lines for the troughs and neckline. Measure the vertical distance from trough to neckline and project it upwards to estimate a conservative target. Confirm the breakout with a volume surge.
 
Homework: Study the following stocks and check if a Double Bottom pattern is forming or has already played out:
1. Biocon Ltd. (BIOCON)
2. Abbott India Ltd. (ABBOTINDIA)
 
You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.
 
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern
Read More
Unlocking Reversals: The Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern

In technical analysis, certain chart patterns stand out for their reliability in predicting trend reversals. One such powerful bullish reversal pattern is the Inverse Head and Shoulders. Let’s understanding this pattern as it may provide a significant edge, especially when spotting a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.


The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern typically forms after a prolonged downtrend, signaling that the selling pressure is waning and a bullish reversal may be on the horizon.

Pattern Anatomy

1. Left ShoulderFormed when the price drops to a trough and then rallies.

2Head: A deeper decline follows, creating a lower low, then another rally.

3Right Shoulder: Price declines again but forms a higher low, followed by another upward move.

4Neckline (Resistance): The highs of the rallies after the left shoulder and head create a horizontal or slightly sloped resistance line. A breakout above this neckline confirms the pattern.


Breakout and Retest: Key Confirmation

The pattern completes when price breaks above the neckline — ideally on increased volume, signaling a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.

Retest: A Second Chance Entry

After the breakout, prices often retrace back to the neckline, testing it as a new support level. This retest offers a lower-risk entry opportunity:

 

  • A successful retest (where the neckline holds and price bounces) adds confidence to the reversal.
  • Traders can enter on a bullish candlestick confirmation after the retest.
  • This is especially helpful in filtering out false breakouts or low-volume moves.
 
How to Trade an Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern

Entry Point

  • Enter the trade when the price closes above the neckline with solid volume.
  • Look for a bullish breakout candle that holds above the neckline, avoiding false breakouts with only wicks or intraday spikes.
  • A balanced approach: enter 50% at breakout, and the remaining 50% after a confirmation candle to reduce risk.
  • There is another chance to enter the trade if there is a successful retest of the breakout.

Target Price: Use these methods to project the expected price move:

  • Chart-Based Target:
    • Measure the vertical distance from the head (lowest point) to the neckline.
    • Add that distance to the breakout point.
    • Target = Neckline + (Neckline - Head)
  • Alternative Methods:
    • Apply Fibonacci Extensions to project targets.
    • Use Pivot Points to identify likely resistance levels post-breakout.
Stop-Loss Placement
  • A stop-loss can be placed just below the right shoulder or even below the head, depending on risk tolerance.
  • A tighter stop-loss may be the low of the breakout candle or last swing low before breakout.
Additional Tips
  • Preceding Trend: This pattern must be preceded by a visible downtrend — it's a reversal, not a continuation pattern.
  • Volume Confirmation: A breakout with rising volume confirms stronger buying interest
  • Indicators: Use RSI or MACD to support the bullish reversal — look for bullish divergence or positive crossovers.
  • Patience Pays: Let the full pattern form. Enter only after the neckline is breached with conviction.
  • Macro View: Align your trades with the broader market trend for increased reliability.
Charting Exercise
Today, switch to a daily chart and start scanning for Inverse Head and Shoulders formations. Clearly mark:
  • Left Shoulder, Head, Right Shoulder
  • Neckline
  • Potential Breakout, Entry, Stop-loss, and Target zones.
Homework: Review the charts of the following stocks and evaluate if an inverse head and shoulders pattern is emerging:
1. Bosch Ltd. (BOSCHLTD)
2. MphasiS Ltd. (MPHASIS)
You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Unlocking Reversals: The Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
Read More
Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern

Chart patterns enable traders to anticipate potential trend reversals and structure their trades accordingly. One of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns is the Double Bottom. Identifying this formation early can help traders prepare for upward price movements and avoid short positions near potential market bottoms.


A Double Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that resembles the letter “W.” It usually forms after a prolonged downtrend, signaling that selling pressure is waning and buyers may soon take control, pushing prices higher.

Anatomy of the Double Bottom Pattern

First Trough: The pattern begins with a strong downward move that reaches a low (the first trough) before bouncing upward. This low represents a support level where buyers begin to show interest.

Second Trough: After the bounce, the price retraces but fails to break significantly below the first trough, forming a second bottom. This second failure to create a new low suggests diminishing bearish strength and growing buyer confidence.

Neckline and Breakout: The high point between the two bottoms is called the neckline. A breakout occurs when the price closes above this neckline with increased volume, confirming the Double Bottom pattern and signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish trend.


How to Trade the Double Bottom Pattern

Entry Point

  • Enter a long position when the price breaks and closes above the neckline with notable volume.
  • Alternatively, wait for a retest of the neckline after the breakout. Enter when the retest holds and the price begins to rise again.
  • Furthermore, you can also split your position — for example, enter 50% on the breakout and the remaining 50% after a successful neckline retest.

Target Price

Two common techniques are used to project a target:

Chart-Based Target:

  • Measure the distance from the troughs to the neckline.
  • Add this distance to the neckline level to project the upside target.
  • Target = Neckline + (Neckline – Bottom)

Fibonacci Extension or Pivot Points:

  • These tools can provide additional profit targets and help confirm resistance levels beyond the initial breakout.

Stop-Loss Placement

  • Place the stop-loss just below the second trough to protect against failed breakouts.
  • If entering after a retest, a tighter stop just below the neckline can be considered.
  • Avoid overly tight stops in volatile markets to prevent getting stopped out by minor retracements.

Additional Tips

  • Double Bottoms are most effective after a prolonged downtrend — in sideways markets, the pattern may lack reliability.
  • Volume should typically decrease during the formation of the second trough and increase on the breakout above the neckline.
  • Confirm the setup with indicators like RSI divergence (higher lows on RSI while price forms equal or lower lows) or a MACD bullish crossover.
  • A rounded or flatter second bottom adds credibility, showing consistent buyer defence at support levels.

Charting Exercise: Switch to a daily chart and scan for potential Double Bottom formations. Clearly mark:

  • First and second troughs
  • Neckline (resistance between the two bottoms)
  • Entry point (breakout candle)
  • Target and stop-loss levels

Use horizontal lines for the troughs and neckline. Measure the vertical distance from trough to neckline and project it upwards to estimate a conservative target. Confirm the breakout with a volume surge.

Homework: Study the following stocks and check if a Double Bottom pattern is forming or has already played out:

1. Bharti Hexacom Ltd. (BHARTIHEXA)

2. Jaiprakash Power Ventures Ltd. (JPPOWER)

You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern
Read More
Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern

Chart patterns enable traders to anticipate potential trend reversals and structure their trades accordingly. One of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns is the Double Bottom. Identifying this formation early can help traders prepare for upward price movements and avoid short positions near potential market bottoms.


A Double Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that resembles the letter “W.” It usually forms after a prolonged downtrend, signaling that selling pressure is waning and buyers may soon take control, pushing prices higher.

Anatomy of the Double Bottom Pattern

First Trough: The pattern begins with a strong downward move that reaches a low (the first trough) before bouncing upward. This low represents a support level where buyers begin to show interest.

Second Trough: After the bounce, the price retraces but fails to break significantly below the first trough, forming a second bottom. This second failure to create a new low suggests diminishing bearish strength and growing buyer confidence.

Neckline and Breakout: The high point between the two bottoms is called the neckline. A breakout occurs when the price closes above this neckline with increased volume, confirming the Double Bottom pattern and signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish trend.

How to Trade the Double Bottom Pattern

Entry Point

  • Enter a long position when the price breaks and closes above the neckline with notable volume.
  • Alternatively, wait for a retest of the neckline after the breakout. Enter when the retest holds and the price begins to rise again.
  • Furthermore, you can also split your position — for example, enter 50% on the breakout and the remaining 50% after a successful neckline retest

Target Price

Two common techniques are used to project a target:


Chart-Based Target:

  • Measure the distance from the troughs to the neckline.
  • Add this distance to the neckline level to project the upside target.
  • Target = Neckline + (Neckline – Bottom)
Fibonacci Extension or Pivot Points:
  • These tools can provide additional profit targets and help confirm resistance levels beyond the initial breakout.
Stop-Loss Placement
  • Place the stop-loss just below the second trough to protect against failed breakouts.
  • If entering after a retest, a tighter stop just below the neckline can be considered.
  • Avoid overly tight stops in volatile markets to prevent getting stopped out by minor retracements.
Additional Tips
  • Double Bottoms are most effective after a prolonged downtrend — in sideways markets, the pattern may lack reliability.
  • Volume should typically decrease during the formation of the second trough and increase on the breakout above the neckline.
  • Confirm the setup with indicators like RSI divergence (higher lows on RSI while price forms equal or lower lows) or a MACD bullish crossover.
  • A rounded or flatter second bottom adds credibility, showing consistent buyer defence at support levels.
Charting Exercise: Switch to a weekly chart and scan for potential Double Bottom formations. Clearly mark:
  • First and second troughs
  • Neckline (resistance between the two bottoms)
  • Entry point (breakout candle)
  • Target and stop-loss levels
Use horizontal lines for the troughs and neckline. Measure the vertical distance from trough to neckline and project it upwards to estimate a conservative target. Confirm the breakout with a volume surge.
 
Homework: Study the following stocks and check if a Double Bottom pattern is forming or has already played out:
1. Anand Rathi Wealth Ltd. (ANANDRATHI)
2. Bharat Forge Ltd. (BHARATFORG)

You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern
Read More

In technical analysis, chart patterns often provide clues about future price direction. One such highly effective reversal pattern is the Triple Bottom. Whether you're just starting out or already have trading experience, learning to recognize and trade the triple bottom pattern can give you an edge, especially in volatile or trend-reversal conditions.


A Triple Bottom Pattern occurs after a prolonged downtrend, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. It is formed when the price hits the same support level three times, failing to break below it, and then finally breaks out above the neckline (resistance level), confirming the reversal.

Support Level: This is a horizontal zone where price finds repeated buying interest. In a triple bottom, price touches this support three distinct times with roughly equal lows, indicating a strong demand zone.

Neckline (Resistance): The highs formed between each of the bottoms usually form a horizontal resistance, called the neckline. A breakout above this neckline is the key confirmation signal.

Breakout: The breakout happens when the price convincingly closes above the neckline, often with increased volume, indicating the bears have lost control and bulls are taking over.


How to Trade a Triple Bottom Pattern

Entry Point

  • Enter the trade when the price closes above the neckline with strong volume.
  • Look for a bullish candle that breaks the neckline and holds above it — not just a wick or intraday spike.
  • A better way can be to enter 50% of your quantity at breakout and 50% after a confirmation candle.

Target Price: There are a few ways to estimate the target:

  • Chart-based method:
    • Measure the distance from the support (bottom) to the neckline.
    • Add this height to the breakout level.
      Target = Neckline + (Neckline - Support)
  • Fibonacci Extensions or Pivot Points can also help project upper resistance levels post-breakout
Stop-Loss Placement
  • A stop-loss can be placed just below the support (bottom of the pattern).
  • A tighter stop-loss option is the low of the breakout candle or the most recent swing low before the breakout.
Retest and Continuation After Breakout:
After a breakout, it's common for the price to retest the neckline — the former resistance now acting as support. This retest adds confidence to the breakout’s validity and offers a second opportunity to enter the trade if you missed the initial breakout.
What to Look For in a Retest:
  • The price pulls back toward the neckline but holds above it.
  • A bullish candlestick forms at or near the neckline, showing renewed buying interest.
  • Volume often contracts during the pullback and expands again when the uptrend resumes.
Continuation Confirmation:
  • A bounce from the neckline after the retest followed by a higher close signal that bulls remain in control.
  • Traders can consider adding to their position or entering afresh on the successful retest with a stop-loss just below the neckline.
This approach reduces the risk of false breakouts and allows for tighter risk management.
 
Additional Tips
  • Before forming the triple bottom pattern, stock must be in a downtrend.
  • Confirm the pattern with volume: Breakouts accompanied by volume expansion are more reliable.
  • Use momentum indicators like RSI or MACD to validate a potential bullish reversal.
  • Patience is key: Triple bottom patterns take time to form, so wait for full confirmation before entering.
  • Consider broader market sentiment — these patterns work best in trending or recovering markets.
Charting Exercise: Switch to a daily chart and scan for potential Triple Bottom formations. Clearly mark:
  • Three distinct troughs (bottoms) at similar price levels
  • Neckline (resistance connecting the highs between the bottoms)
  • Entry point (breakout candle that closes above the neckline)
  • Target and stop-loss levels
Use horizontal lines for the troughs and neckline. Measure the vertical distance from the troughs to the neckline and project it upwards from the breakout point to estimate a conservative target. Confirm the breakout with a noticeable surge in volume. If a retest of the neckline occurs, observe price action for continuation signals before considering a second entry.
 
Homework:
Study the following stocks and check if a Triple Bottom pattern is forming or has already played out:
1. Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (HINDZINC)
2. Persistent Systems Ltd. (PERSISTENT)
You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.
Triple Bottom Pattern: A Powerful Reversal Signal
Read More
Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern

Chart patterns enable traders to anticipate potential trend reversals and structure their trades accordingly. One of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns is the Double Bottom. Identifying this formation early can help traders prepare for upward price movements and avoid short positions near potential market bottoms.


A Double Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that resembles the letter “W.” It usually forms after a prolonged downtrend, signaling that selling pressure is waning and buyers may soon take control, pushing prices higher.

Anatomy of the Double Bottom Pattern

First Trough: The pattern begins with a strong downward move that reaches a low (the first trough) before bouncing upward. This low represents a support level where buyers begin to show interest.

Second Trough: After the bounce, the price retraces but fails to break significantly below the first trough, forming a second bottom. This second failure to create a new low suggests diminishing bearish strength and growing buyer confidence.

Neckline and Breakout: The high point between the two bottoms is called the neckline. A breakout occurs when the price closes above this neckline with increased volume, confirming the Double Bottom pattern and signalling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish trend.


How to Trade the Double Bottom Pattern

Entry Point

 

  • Enter a long position when the price breaks and closes above the neckline with notable volume.
  • Alternatively, wait for a retest of the neckline after the breakout. Enter when the retest holds and the price begins to rise again.
  • Furthermore, you can also split your position — for example, enter 50% on the breakout and the remaining 50% after a successful neckline retest.

Target Price

 

Two common techniques are used to project a target:

Chart-Based Target:

  • Measure the distance from the troughs to the neckline.
  • Add this distance to the neckline level to project the upside target.
  • Target = Neckline + (Neckline – Bottom)
Fibonacci Extension or Pivot Points:
  • These tools can provide additional profit targets and help confirm resistance levels beyond the initial breakout.
Stop-Loss Placement
  • Place the stop-loss just below the second trough to protect against failed breakouts.
  • If entering after a retest, a tighter stop just below the neckline can be considered.
  • Avoid overly tight stops in volatile markets to prevent getting stopped out by minor retracements.
Additional Tips
  • Double Bottoms are most effective after a prolonged downtrend — in sideways markets, the pattern may lack reliability.
  • Volume should typically decrease during the formation of the second trough and increase on the breakout above the neckline.
  • Confirm the setup with indicators like RSI divergence (higher lows on RSI while price forms equal or lower lows) or a MACD bullish crossover.
  • A rounded or flatter second bottom adds credibility, showing consistent buyer defence at support levels.
Charting Exercise: Switch to a daily chart and scan for potential Double Bottom formations. Clearly mark:
  • First and second troughs
  • Neckline (resistance between the two bottoms)
  • Entry point (breakout candle)
  • Target and stop-loss levels
Use horizontal lines for the troughs and neckline. Measure the vertical distance from trough to neckline and project it upwards to estimate a conservative target. Confirm the breakout with a volume surge.
 
Homework: Study the following stocks and check if a Double Bottom pattern is forming or has already played out:
1. Power Finance Corporation Ltd. (PFC)
2. Punjab National Bank (PNB)
You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Spotting the Double Bottom Pattern
Read More
Unlocking Reversals: The Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern

In technical analysis, certain chart patterns stand out for their reliability in predicting trend reversals. One such powerful bullish reversal pattern is the Inverse Head and Shoulders. Let’s understanding this pattern as it may provide a significant edge, especially when spotting a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.


The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern typically forms after a prolonged downtrend, signaling that the selling pressure is waning and a bullish reversal may be on the horizon.

Pattern Anatomy

1. Left Shoulder: Formed when the price drops to a trough and then rallies.

2Head: A deeper decline follows, creating a lower low, then another rally.

3Right Shoulder: Price declines again but forms a higher low, followed by another upward move.

4Neckline (Resistance): The highs of the rallies after the left shoulder and head create a horizontal or slightly sloped resistance line. A breakout above this neckline confirms the pattern.

Breakout and Retest: Key Confirmation

The pattern completes when price breaks above the neckline — ideally on increased volume, signaling a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.


Retest: A Second Chance Entry

After the breakout, prices often retrace back to the neckline, testing it as a new support level. This retest offers a lower-risk entry opportunity:

  • A successful retest (where the neckline holds and price bounces) adds confidence to the reversal.
  • Traders can enter on a bullish candlestick confirmation after the retest.
  • This is especially helpful in filtering out false breakouts or low-volume moves.
How to Trade an Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
 
Entry Point
  • Enter the trade when the price closes above the neckline with solid volume.
  • Look for a bullish breakout candle that holds above the neckline, avoiding false breakouts with only wicks or intraday spikes.
  • A balanced approach: enter 50% at breakout, and the remaining 50% after a confirmation candle to reduce risk.
  • There is another chance to enter the trade if there is a successful retest of the breakout.
Target Price: Use these methods to project the expected price move:
  • Chart-Based Target:
    • Measure the vertical distance from the head (lowest point) to the neckline.
    • Add that distance to the breakout point.
    • Target = Neckline + (Neckline - Head)
  • Alternative Methods
    • Apply Fibonacci Extensions to project targets.
    • Use Pivot Points to identify likely resistance levels post-breakout.
Stop-Loss Placement
  • A stop-loss can be placed just below the right shoulder or even below the head, depending on risk tolerance.
  • A tighter stop-loss may be the low of the breakout candle or last swing low before breakout.
Additional Tips
  • Preceding Trend: This pattern must be preceded by a visible downtrend — it's a reversal, not a continuation pattern.
  • Volume Confirmation: A breakout with rising volume confirms stronger buying interest.
  • Indicators: Use RSI or MACD to support the bullish reversal — look for bullish divergence or positive crossovers.
  • Patience Pays: Let the full pattern form. Enter only after the neckline is breached with conviction.
  • Macro View: Align your trades with the broader market trend for increased reliability.
Charting Exercise
Today, switch to a daily chart and start scanning for Inverse Head and Shoulders formations. Clearly mark:
  • Left Shoulder, Head, Right Shoulder
  • Neckline
  • Potential Breakout, Entry, Stop-loss, and Target zones.
Homework: Review the charts of the following stocks and evaluate if an inverse head and shoulders pattern is emerging:
1. Housing & Urban Development Corporation Ltd. (HUDCO)
2. Brainbees Solutions Ltd. (FIRSTCRY)

You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Unlocking Reversals: The Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
Read More
Understanding Support and Reversal Patterns

In technical analysis, support levels play a crucial role in helping traders identify potential reversal zones. A support level is a price zone where demand is strong enough to halt a downtrend. When price tests support and holds, it can be a strong signal of a potential trend reversal — especially if accompanied by confirming patterns or volume cues.


Why Support Matters

Support is not just a line on a chart — it's a psychological zone where market participants perceive value. As price approaches a previously defended level, buying pressure may reemerge, absorbing sell orders and reversing the trend.

Support and reversal patterns become powerful tools when:

  • Price approaches a historical support level.
  • There's a sharp reaction off the level (e.g., bullish engulfing or hammer candle)
  • Volume confirms the shift in sentiment.
Support Reversal Anatomy

1. Initial Downtrend: Price moves lower, approaching a known or developing support level.

2. Test of Support: Price tests the level, often accompanied by a candlestick pattern or volume spike.

3. Reversal Signal

o A pattern such as a double bottom, hammer, or bullish divergence on RSI/MACD appears.

o Volume picks up during bounce or reversal.

4. Break of Minor Resistance: Price breaks a local resistance (e.g., the neckline of a double bottom), confirming the bullish reversal.


How to Trade Support-Based Reversal Patterns

Entry Point

  • Aggressive Entry: Enter when a clear reversal candlestick forms at support (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer).
  • Conservative Entry: Wait for the breakout above minor resistance (neckline of double bottom) or the retest bounce.
  • Alternately you can divide your funds and enter 50% at reversal, and the remaining 50% after breakout from minor resistance to reduce risk.

Target Price

  • Conservative Target: Previous swing high or resistance zone.
  • Fibonacci Extensions: Use to identify higher-level targets beyond resistance.

Stop-Loss Placement

  • Below the support level or wick of the reversal candle.
  • If entering after a breakout, below the retested support zone or swing low.

Additional Tips

  • Multiple Time Frame Confluence: Support on a higher time frame (e.g., daily or weekly) carries more weight than intraday levels.
  • Volume Confirmation: Rising volume on the bounce or breakout signals genuine buying interest.
  • Trend Context: Ensure that you’re not trading against a very strong macro trend unless multiple signs point to exhaustion.
  • Indicators Help:
    • RSI Divergence: Price makes lower lows; RSI makes higher lows.
    • MACD: Look for a crossover near or just after the support bounce.
  • Always size your position according to risk tolerance (e.g., 1–2% of account capital)

Charting Exercise

Today, choose a monthly chart and scan for reversal setups near support. Identify and label:

  • Historical or logical support zones
  • Reversal candles (engulfing, pin bars)
  • Double bottoms or rounded bottoms
  • Resistance breakouts and retests.
  • Entry, stop-loss, and target levels

Homework: Review the charts of the following stocks and evaluate if the discussed technical pattern is emerging:

1. Astral Ltd. (ASTRAL)

2. IDBI Bank Ltd. (IDBI)

You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Understanding Support and Reversal Patterns
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