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Technical Analysis of GSPL & AAVAS

Stock name: Gujarat State Petronet Ltd.

Pattern: Resistance breakout

Time frame: Weekly

Observation:

The stock has faced strong resistance around the 380 level since August 2021. Between February and April 2024, it attempted to breach this resistance but failed, strengthening it further. However, towards the end of August 2024, the stock successfully broke through with high trading volume, and the following week's candle confirmed the breakout. According to technical analysis, the stock may continue moving upward if it maintains this momentum. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Stock name: Aavas Financiers Ltd.

Pattern: Double bottom pattern and retest

Time frame: Weekly

Observation:

The stock experienced a downward trend starting in January 2022. Between April 2023 and June 2024, it formed a double bottom pattern on the weekly chart, followed by a breakout in June 2024. After an initial upward move, the stock retested the breakout level immediately. In the month of September, the stock has rebounded with strong volumes. If the current momentum holds, the stock may see further upward movement according to technical analysis. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Technical Analysis of GSPL & AAVAS
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Premier Energies Ltd: A Promising Debut on the Bourses

As we celebrate the auspicious arrival of Lord Ganesh, the god of new beginnings, a new company has made a noteworthy debut on the stock markets—Premier Energies Ltd, a name making headlines today. The company, with 29 years of experience in the solar industry, is primarily known as an integrated solar cell and solar module manufacturer.

Business Overview:

Premier Energies Ltd operates in various segments within the solar industry:

  1. Manufacturing of Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Cells: These cells are the building blocks for solar modules, converting sunlight into electricity.
  2. Manufacturing of Solar Modules: The company manufactures complete solar modules, which can be used in various applications.
  3. Customized Solar Products: Premier Energies offers bespoke solar solutions tailored to customer needs, such as customized solar tiles.
  4. EPC Projects Execution: The company undertakes Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) projects, providing end-to-end solutions in the solar sector.
  5. Operation & Maintenance Services: They offer maintenance services for EPC projects, ensuring the optimal performance of solar installations.
  6. Independent Power Production: Premier Energies also operates as an independent power producer, generating electricity from its solar assets.

Listing Performance:

Premier Energies Ltd’s IPO was priced at ₹450 per share, raising ₹2,830.40 crores, including a fresh issue of ₹1,291.40 crores. The IPO was heavily oversubscribed by 75 times, reflecting strong investor interest. The stock made a stellar debut, listing at ₹990 per share, a significant 120% premium over the issue price. It has since soared to ₹1,159.70, showcasing a remarkable performance within just four days of listing and creating a buzz in the market.

Post-Listing Scenario:

The company’s impressive market performance reflects the positive sentiment surrounding the solar industry, driven by increasing electricity consumption, a shift towards renewable energy sources, and supportive government policies. The solar sector, in particular, appears promising as the world transitions away from non-renewable energy.

What’s Next?

However, despite the current euphoria, the stock is trading at a high Price-to-Earnings (P/E) multiple of 225, suggesting that it may be overvalued at present levels. A rational approach for investors would be to add the stock to their watchlists and wait for market excitement to subside, allowing for a more reasonable entry point. As the broader industry dynamics remain favorable, Premier Energies Ltd is undoubtedly a stock to watch closely for potential opportunities in the future.

 

Premier Energies Ltd: A Promising Debut on the Bourses
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Technical Analysis of CENTURYPLY & CRAFTSMAN

Stock name: Century Plyboards (India) Ltd.

Pattern: Cup and handle pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock has been on an upward trajectory since the post-Covid period. Between February 2024 and August 2024, it consolidated and formed a cup and handle pattern on its daily chart. On 26 August 2024, the stock achieved a strong breakout, supported by solid trading volumes. In the subsequent sessions, it successfully held the breakout level. According to technical analysis, if the stock can build on this breakout momentum, it may experience further upward movement. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Stock name: Craftsman Automation Ltd.

Pattern: Cup and handle pattern and retest

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock has been trending upward since its listing. Between December 2023 and August 2024, it formed a cup and handle pattern on the daily chart. On 26 August 2024, the stock broke out of this pattern, with the breakout candle accompanied by significant trading volume. After the breakout, the stock experienced a brief retest. Currently, the stock has rebounded successfully and resumed its upward momentum. Based on technical analysis, the stock may continue its upward movement. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Technical Analysis of CENTURYPLY & CRAFTSMAN
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Technical Analysis of JAIBALAJI & PRSMJOHNSN

Stock name: Jai Balaji Industries Ltd.

Pattern: Inverse head and shoulders pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock has been on a downward trend since March 2024. Between May 2024 and September 2024, it stabilized and formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on its daily chart. On September 3, 2024, the stock broke out of this pattern, followed by strong upward momentum in the next trading session. According to technical analysis, if the current momentum continues, the stock may experience further gains. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Stock name: Prism Johnson Ltd.

Pattern: Cup and handle pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

Since the post-COVID period, the overall trend for the stock has been positive. Recently, it consolidated and formed a cup and handle pattern on its daily chart between July 2024 and September 2024. On September 3, 2024, the stock broke out of this pattern, supported by substantial trading volume. In the following session, the upward movement continued with even greater volume. According to technical analysis, if the stock sustains its breakout momentum, it may see further upward movement. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Technical Analysis of JAIBALAJI & PRSMJOHNSN
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Technical Analysis of RADICO & JMFINANCIL

Stock name: Radico Khaitan Ltd.

Pattern: Cup and handle pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock has shown a consistent upward trend. Between June and August 2024, it formed a cup and handle pattern on the daily chart, breaking out on August 30, 2024. Since the breakout, the stock has held its level. If this momentum continues, the stock may see further upward movement according to technical analysis. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Stock name: JM Financial Ltd.

Pattern: Cup and handle pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock has been trending upward since March 2023. From January to August 2024, it stabilized and formed a cup and handle pattern on its daily chart. A breakout occurred on August 29, 2024, accompanied by significant volume. The stock has since continued its upward movement with strong volume. If the momentum persists, then as per technical analysis the stock may move further upwards. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Technical Analysis of RADICO & JMFINANCIL
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Technical Analysis of SAFARI & WHIRLPOOL

Stock name: Safari Industries (India) Ltd.

Pattern: Flag and pole pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock experienced a sharp rise in August 2024, followed by a consolidation phase, forming a flag and pole pattern on the daily chart. On August 30, 2024, it broke out of this pattern with significant trading volume and sustained the breakout the following day. If the stock maintains this momentum, it may continue to move higher according to technical analysis. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Stock name: Whirlpool of India Ltd.

Pattern: Flag and pole pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

On the daily chart, the stock experienced a sharp rise from June 5 to June 27, 2024, followed by consolidation until August 29, 2024, forming a flag and pole pattern. The stock broke out of this pattern on August 29 with significant trading volume and has since sustained its breakout levels, moving upwards. If the momentum continues, the stock may climb higher according to technical analysis. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Technical Analysis of SAFARI & WHIRLPOOL
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Technical Analysis of WELSPUNLIV  & EMAMILTD

Stock name: Welspun Living Ltd.

Pattern: Resistance breakout pattern

Time frame: Monthly

Observation:

The stock reached its previous high around September-October 2021 before declining. Since November 2023, it attempted to move upward multiple times but faced resistance at the September-October 2021 level. In July 2024, the stock broke through this resistance with strong trading volume, and the upward trend continued with the August 2024 candle. According to technical analysis, if the stock maintains its current momentum, it may see further upward movement. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Stock name: Emami Ltd.

Pattern: Resistance breakout pattern

Time frame: Monthly

Observation:

The stock reached its previous high in 2015, forming resistance around the 680 level. In June 2024, it broke through this resistance with strong trading volume, and the upward trend continued in July 2024. The stock was able to sustain the level in August 2024. According to technical analysis, if the stock maintains its momentum, it may move further upward. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Technical Analysis of WELSPUNLIV & EMAMILTD
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The Power of Patience: A Reliance Journey

A Patient Investor

Let's meet Mr.Chandu, a long-term investor who bought 100 shares of Reliance Industries in 1977. Fast forward to today, and Mr. Chandu's holdings have grown to a remarkable 1280 shares with a market value of around Rs. 35-40 lakhs. But the story doesn't end here.


The Bonus Bonanza

Reliance Industries has a history of rewarding its loyal shareholders with bonus issues. If the company's board approves the proposed 1:1 bonus issue on September 5th, Mr.Chandu's 1280 shares will magically transform into 2560 shares. With the current share price hovering around Rs. 3000, you might think that Mr. Chandu's investment would be doubled, worth well over Rs. 75 lakhs (Rs.3000 * 2560 shares) ! But wait! A bonus issue does not double your wealth. After a bonus, the share price adjusts itself and corrects by the bonus amount, at least theoretically. So, assuming the stock corrects 50% (because it is a 1:1 bonus), the value of Mr.Chandu’s holding would still be the same Rs. 35-40 lakhs.

However, Mr.Chandu isn't disheartened. He understands that bonus issues can offer benefits beyond immediate financial gains. Increased liquidity and the positive sentiment among investors can be advantageous for both Reliance Industries and its shareholders like Mr.Chandu.


CAGR and Dividends

Over the years, Reliance Industries has delivered a consistent Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of around 19%, where the broader market indexes like Nifty deliver around 12-13%. This impressive performance is a testament to the company's sound business strategies and strong leadership.

In addition to capital appreciation, Mr.Chandu has also received a significant amount of dividend income over the years. Approximately Rs. 1,35,600 has been added to his investment kitty through dividends alone.


The Power of Patience

Mr.Chandu's story is a powerful reminder of the long-term benefits of investing in quality stocks. By staying patient and holding onto his Reliance shares through thick and thin, he has reaped substantial rewards.

Conclusion

Reliance Industries has not only been a financial success story but has also played a pivotal role in India's economic growth. For investors who have been part of this journey, the rewards have been truly bountiful.

Remember: This blog post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's always recommended to consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

The Power of Patience: A Reliance Journey
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Technical Analysis of ABBOTINDIA & GODREJIND

Stock name: Abbott India Ltd.

Pattern: Cup and handle pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock has experienced significant upward movement since December 2023. From March to August 2024, it formed a cup and handle pattern on the daily chart, breaking out on 22 August 2024 with substantial volume. Following the breakout, the stock has continued to rise. Technical analysis suggests that if the current momentum is maintained, it may see further upward movement. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

Stock name: Godrej Industries Ltd.

Pattern: Cup and handle pattern

Time frame: Daily

Observation:

The stock has shown strong upward movement since November 2022. Between May and August 2024, it formed a cup and handle pattern on the daily chart and broke out on 27 August 2024 with significant volume. The stock has sustained the breakout with slight upward movement. As per technical analysis, if the stock is able to maintain the momentum it may see further upward movement. It's advisable to look for additional confirmations, such as RSI levels and the MACD indicator.

You may add this to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

 

News for the day:

  • Singapore Airlines (SIA) has received approval from the Indian government for its foreign direct investment (FDI) in the merger between Vistara and Air India, which was announced in November 2022. This merger, aimed at creating a dominant full-service airline, will see SIA hold a 25.1% stake in the combined entity. The merger, which has also received anti-trust and regulatory clearances, is expected to be completed by the end of 2024, pending compliance with Indian laws.

  • Starting November 1, 2024, the Indian government will remove the cap on sugar diversion for ethanol production, allowing the use of cane juice, syrup, and various molasses types. Distilleries are also permitted to purchase up to 2.3 million metric tons of rice from the Food Corporation of India for ethanol production. This policy aims to boost renewable energy while ensuring stable sugar availability. The Department of Food and Public Distribution, along with the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, will monitor the impact on sugar supplies to maintain domestic availability.
  • Despite the excitement among retail investors over Reliance Industries' (RIL) bonus share announcement, the company's Annual General Meeting (AGM) did not provide any new catalysts for brokerages to raise target prices. While the listing of RIL's consumer-facing businesses, Reliance Jio and Reliance Retail, could lead to a re-rating of India's most valuable stock, Mukesh Ambani made no mention of this during his AGM speech, leaving target prices unchanged.
Technical Analysis of ABBOTINDIA & GODREJIND
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